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OYSTERSHELL

Active
Public limited companyfounded 1979active for 47 yearsNijverheidsweg 10, 9820 Merelbeke-Melle, BelgiumKBO/BCE: BE 0419.652.979

Financials · financial year 2025, full format

Annual accounts 2025 filed on 09-07-2026 at the NBB all 45 filings

Turnover
€39.8m▲ 1.1%
2024 · €39.4m
EBIT margin
17.9%▲ 1.1pp
2024 · 16.7%
Net result
€5.8m▼ 11.2%
2024 · €6.5m
Working capital
€5.8m▲ 217%
2024 · €1.8m
Multi-year overview
2018 to 2025, 8 financial years
Turnover
€39.8m
▲ 1.1% 2025
20182025
Operating result
€7.1m
▲ 7.9% 2025
20182025
Net result
€5.8m
▼ 11.2% 2025
highest quarter of the sector
20182025
EBIT margin
17.9%
▲ 1.1pp 2025
20182025
Equity
€15.1m
▲ 62.2% 2025
highest quarter of the sector
20182025
Total assets
€32.7m
▲ 4.5% 2025
highest quarter of the sector
20182025
Debt
€17.7m
▼ 19.8% 2025
20182025
Working capital
€5.8m
▲ 217% 2025
highest quarter of the sector
20182025
Solvency
46.0%
▲ 16.4pp 2025
middle half of the sector
20182025
Current ratio
1.44
▲ 0.32 2025
middle half of the sector
20182025
Return on assets (ROA)
17.6%
▼ 3.1pp 2025
highest quarter of the sector
20182025
Staff (FTE)
37.6
▲ 5.6% 2025
highest quarter of the sector
20182025
Every figure per financial year
Every figure with its change against the financial year before
favourable unfavourable
Line20182019202020212022202320242025
Turnover€29.3m-€27.2m▼ 7.2%€28.6m▲ 5.0%€23.6m▼ 17.6%€31.5m▲ 33.7%€38.0m▲ 20.7%€39.4m▲ 3.5%€39.8m▲ 1.1%
Operating result€5.3m-€1.3m▼ 74.7%€1.7m▲ 30.8%€2.2m▲ 23.9%€6.0m▲ 178%€5.9m▼ 1.5%€6.6m▲ 11.1%€7.1m▲ 7.9%
Net result€5.1m-€1.1m▼ 78.0%€1.6mabove the sector's middle half▲ 41.9%€2.2mabove the sector's middle half▲ 36.3%€5.8mabove the sector's middle half▲ 169%€5.3mabove the sector's middle half▼ 9.1%€6.5mabove the sector's middle half▲ 22.4%€5.8mabove the sector's middle half▼ 11.2%
EBIT margin18.0%-4.9%▼ 13.1pp6.1%▲ 1.2pp9.2%▲ 3.1pp19.1%▲ 9.9pp15.6%▼ 3.5pp16.7%▲ 1.1pp17.9%▲ 1.1pp
Equity€3.3m-€3.3m▲ 0.2%€3.9mwithin the sector's middle half▲ 19.1%€6.1mabove the sector's middle half▲ 55.1%€6.5mabove the sector's middle half▲ 5.7%€2.8mwithin the sector's middle half▼ 57.0%€9.3mabove the sector's middle half▲ 234%€15.1mabove the sector's middle half▲ 62.2%
Total assets€20.0m-€20.4m▲ 2.0%€19.6mabove the sector's middle half▼ 3.7%€18.2mabove the sector's middle half▼ 7.5%€22.5mabove the sector's middle half▲ 23.6%€30.0mabove the sector's middle half▲ 33.6%€31.3mabove the sector's middle half▲ 4.5%€32.7mabove the sector's middle half▲ 4.5%
Debt€16.7m-€17.1m▲ 2.3%€15.7m▼ 8.1%€12.0m▼ 23.3%€16.0m▲ 32.8%€27.2m▲ 70.2%€22.0m▼ 18.9%€17.7m▼ 19.8%
Working capital€3.0m-€4.7m▲ 56.3%€2.2mwithin the sector's middle half▼ 53.8%€2.2mwithin the sector's middle half=€1.5mwithin the sector's middle half▼ 31.1%-€3.1mbelow the sector's middle half€1.8mwithin the sector's middle half€5.8mabove the sector's middle half▲ 217%
Solvency16.5%-16.3%▼ 0.3pp20.1%below the sector's middle half▲ 3.8pp33.7%within the sector's middle half▲ 13.6pp28.8%within the sector's middle half▼ 4.9pp9.3%below the sector's middle half▼ 19.5pp29.6%within the sector's middle half▲ 20.3pp46.0%within the sector's middle half▲ 16.4pp
Current ratio1.31-1.55▲ 0.241.27within the sector's middle half▼ 0.271.40within the sector's middle half▲ 0.131.14within the sector's middle half▼ 0.260.84below the sector's middle half▼ 0.301.12below the sector's middle half▲ 0.271.44within the sector's middle half▲ 0.32
Return on assets (ROA)25.5%-5.5%▼ 20.0pp8.1%above the sector's middle half▲ 2.6pp12.0%above the sector's middle half▲ 3.9pp26.0%above the sector's middle half▲ 14.1pp17.7%above the sector's middle half▼ 8.3pp20.7%above the sector's middle half▲ 3.0pp17.6%above the sector's middle half▼ 3.1pp
Staff (FTE)23.6-26.9▲ 14.0%28.2within the sector's middle half▲ 4.8%33.4above the sector's middle half▲ 18.4%33above the sector's middle half▼ 1.2%32.7above the sector's middle half▼ 0.9%35.6above the sector's middle half▲ 8.9%37.6above the sector's middle half▲ 5.6%
above within below The sector band is the middle half of the companies in Scientific research and development (NACE 72). A quarter of them sit below it, a quarter above. Each year counts only accounts in the same format, and only where there are at least 30.

The operating result for 2025 is 8% higher than in 2024 and the highest since 2021. It is the second rise in a row, after the fall in 2023.

Balance-sheet composition
2025 in colour, 2024 as the grey bar beneath
Assets €32.7m
Fixed assets €13.7m ▼ 3.4%
Current assets €19.1m ▲ 11.0%
Equity and liabilities €32.7m
Equity €15.1m ▲ 62.2%
Debt €17.7m ▼ 19.8%
Debt's share of the balance-sheet total falls from 70.4% to 54.0%. Equity is higher and debt is lower.
Key figures and ratios
2025 value · change against 2024
EBITDA
€9.1m▲
2024 · €8.1m
Cash flow
€7.8m▼
2024 · €8.0m
Quick ratio
1.35▲
2024 · 1.02
Debt to equity
1.17▼
2024 · 2.38
ROE
38.3%▼
2024 · 70.0%
Interest coverage
14.69▲
2024 · 12.42
Debt ≤ 1 year
€13.2m▼
2024 · €15.3m
Debt > 1 year
€4.4m▼
2024 · €6.6m
Income taxes
€265,767▲
2024 · €191,426
Customer credit
56 days▼
2024 · 58 days
Supplier credit
107 days▼
2024 · 122 days
Staff costs
€4.5m▲
2024 · €4.4m
Green means a favourable move, even when the figure itself falls, as with debt or debt to equity.

Staff

social balance sheet
Item31-12-202131-12-202231-12-202331-12-202431-12-2025
Employees at the balance-sheet date3432323841
full-time3230292934
part-time22397
in full-time equivalents33.431.431.236.139.7
Average over the year, in full-time equivalents31.43332.735.637.6
On a permanent contract3432323841
Joined11341239
Left654636
Agency workers, average number0.10.20.50.10.1
Training hours--392--

Source: social balance sheet in the 2021 to 2025 annual accounts

Securities and guarantees

on own assets and for others
Item20212022202320242025
Debts secured on the company's own assets€7.5m€6.5m€8.7m€8.6m€6.6m
Mortgages, amount registered€1.8m€1.8m€25,000€25,000€25,000
Mortgage mandates--€4.8m€4.8m€4.8m
Carrying value of the mortgaged assets€2.9m€2.8m€2.7m€2.6m€2.5m
Pledge on the business--€37.1m€37.1m€37.1m
Carrying value of the other pledged assets€6.1m€15.4m---

Source: notes to the 2021 to 2025 annual accounts (statement of debts and off-balance-sheet rights and commitments)

Investments

fixed assets acquired
Item20212022202320242025
Tangible fixed assets€151,324€444,354€794,128€330,199€423,741
Intangible fixed assets€437,498€106,784€1.2m€2.1m€2.0m
Depreciation and write-downs of the year€908,015€966,351€1.1m€1.5m€2.0m

Source: notes to the 2021 to 2025 annual accounts (statement of fixed assets)

Auditor

fees

The auditor is VGD Bedrijfsrevisoren.

Item20212022202320242025
Fee for the audit€23,123€25,398€17,000€17,230€17,774
Other work by the auditor--€470-€1,550

Source: notes to the 2021 to 2025 annual accounts (relations with the auditor)

Subsidies and aid

Flemish government

2022 to 2025 · 8 entries · €39,976 awarded · €27,326 paid
Year Entries AwardedPaid
2025 3 €604€13,104
2024 2 €31,706€6,685
2023 1 €1,137€1,344
2022 2 €6,529€6,193
Schemes
3 entries · €25,000 · €12,500 paid · Fonds voor Innoveren en Ondernemen
4 entries · €13,388 · €13,238 paid · Fonds voor Innoveren en Ondernemen
1 entry · €1,588 · €1,588 paid · Departement Werk en Sociale Economie
Annual accounts
Filed annual accounts As filed with the NBB · 2025 against 2024 · 83 lines
Balance sheet Code20242025
Assets
Total assets20/58€31.3m€32.7m▲
Fixed assets21/28€14.2m€13.7m▼
Intangible fixed assets21€3.5m€4.0m▲
Tangible fixed assets22/27€3.8m€3.7m▼
Land and buildings22€2.6m€2.5m▼
Plant, machinery and equipment23€1.1m€1.1m▲
Furniture and vehicles24€0.08m€0.08m▼
Financial fixed assets28€6.9m€6.0m▼
Affiliated companies280/1€6.9m€5.9m▼
Amounts receivable281€6.9m€5.9m▼
Other financial fixed assets284/8-€0.02m
Amounts receivable and cash guarantees285/8-€0.02m
Current assets29/58€17.2m€19.1m▲
Stocks and contracts in progress3€1.5m€1.1m▼
Stocks30/36€1.5m€1.1m▼
Raw materials and consumables30/31€0.6m€0.4m▼
Work in progress32€0.08m€0.03m▼
Finished goods33€0.8m€0.7m▼
Amounts receivable within one year40/41€7.0m€6.7m▼
Trade receivables40€6.2m€6.1m▼
Other amounts receivable41€0.8m€0.6m▼
Current investments50/53€0€2.6m▲
Other investments51/53€0€2.6m▲
Cash at bank and in hand54/58€8.5m€8.4m▼
Deferred charges and accrued income490/1€0.2m€0.2m▲
Equity and liabilities
Total equity and liabilities10/49€31.3m€32.7m▲
Equity10/15€9.3m€15.1m▲
Contributions10/11€0.9m€0.9m=
Capital10€0.07m€0.07m=
Issued capital100€0.07m€0.07m=
Contributions outside capital11€0.8m€0.8m=
Share premium1100/10€0.8m€0.8m=
Reserves13€0.1m€0.04m▼
Non-distributable reserves130/1€0.04m€0.04m=
Legal reserve130€0.04m€0.04m=
Tax-exempt reserves132€0.07m-
Profit (loss) carried forward14€8.3m€14.2m▲
Amounts payable17/49€22.0m€17.7m▼
Amounts payable after more than one year17€6.6m€4.4m▼
Financial debts170/4€6.6m€4.4m▼
Credit institutions173€6.6m€4.4m▼
Amounts payable within one year42/48€15.3m€13.2m▼
Current portion of amounts payable after more than one year42€2.0m€2.1m▲
Trade debts44€6.9m€5.9m▼
Suppliers440/4€6.9m€5.9m▼
Taxes, remuneration and social security45€0.7m€0.8m▲
Taxes450/3-€0.03m
Remuneration and social security454/9€0.7m€0.8m▲
Other amounts payable47/48€5.7m€4.5m▼
Accrued charges and deferred income492/3€0.2m€0.01m▼
Income statement Code20242025
Operating income70/76A€40.9m€41.4m▲
Turnover70€39.4m€39.8m▲
Change in stocks of work in progress, finished goods and contracts in progress71-€0.3m-€0.1m▲
Own construction capitalised72€0.4m€0.4m▼
Other operating income74€1.3m€1.3m▼
Operating charges60/66A€34.3m€34.3m=
Goods for resale, raw materials and consumables60€20.7m€20.1m▼
Purchases600/8€20.8m€19.8m▼
Change in stocks: decrease (increase)609-€0.07m€0.2m▲
Services and other goods61€7.5m€7.7m▲
Remuneration, social security and pensions62€4.4m€4.5m▲
Depreciation of and write-downs on formation expenses, intangible and tangible fixed assets630€1.5m€2.0m▲
Other operating charges640/8€0.03m€0.02m▼
Operating profit (loss)9901€6.6m€7.1m▲
Financial income75/76B€0.8m€0.4m▼
Recurring financial income75€0.8m€0.4m▼
Income from financial fixed assets750€0.4m€0.3m▼
Income from current assets751-€0.1m
Other financial income752/9€0.4m€233▼
Financial charges65/66B€0.7m€1.5m▲
Recurring financial charges65€0.7m€1.5m▲
Debt charges650€0.7m€0.6m▼
Other financial charges652/9€0.03m€0.9m▲
Profit (loss) for the period before taxes9903€6.7m€6.0m▼
Income taxes67/77€0.2m€0.3m▲
Taxes670/3€0.3m€0.3m▲
Tax adjustments and reversals of tax provisions77€0.1m€0.08m▼
Profit (loss) for the period9904€6.5m€5.8m▼
Transfer from tax-exempt reserves789€0.8m€0.07m▼
Profit (loss) for the period to be appropriated9905€7.3m€5.8m▼
Appropriation of the result
Profit (loss) to be appropriated9906€8.3m€14.2m▲
Profit (loss) brought forward from the previous period14P€1.0m€8.3m▲
Social balance sheet
Average headcount (FTE)908735.637.6▲

The notes to these accounts have 87 items, including the statement of assets and debts, the cost breakdown and rights and commitments. You find them in the accounts filed with the NBB.

Source: Annual accounts 2025 at the NBB, filed on 09-07-2026.

Line20182019202020212022202320242025Change
Operating income70/76A---€24.1m€32.3m€39.9m€40.9m€41.4m▲ 1.3%
Turnover70€29.3m€27.2m€28.6m€23.6m€31.5m€38.0m€39.4m€39.8m▲ 1.1%
Change in stocks of work in progress, finished goods and contracts in progress71----€0.2m-€0.1m€0.6m-€0.3m-€0.1m▲ 64.5%
Own construction capitalised72-----€0.2m€0.4m€0.4m▼ 10.2%
Other operating income74---€0.7m€0.9m€1.1m€1.3m€1.3m▼ 2.7%
Operating charges60/66A---€21.9m€26.3m€34.0m€34.3m€34.3m=
Goods for resale, raw materials and consumables60---€12.5m€16.4m€21.9m€20.7m€20.1m▼ 3.3%
Purchases600/8---€12.5m€16.4m€21.8m€20.8m€19.8m▼ 4.8%
Change in stocks: decrease (increase)609----€0.007m-€0.09m€0.1m-€0.07m€0.2m-
Services and other goods61---€5.6m€5.2m€7.1m€7.5m€7.7m▲ 1.9%
Remuneration, social security and pensions62---€2.8m€3.6m€4.0m€4.4m€4.5m▲ 2.1%
Depreciation of and write-downs on formation expenses, intangible and tangible fixed assets630€0.8m€1.0m€1.0m€0.9m€1.0m€1.1m€1.5m€2.0m▲ 30.0%
Other operating charges640/8---€0.02m€0.04m€0.01m€0.03m€0.02m▼ 6.2%
Non-recurring operating charges66A---€0.02m€0.08m----
Operating profit (loss)9901€5.3m€1.3m€1.7m€2.2m€6.0m€5.9m€6.6m€7.1m▲ 7.9%
Financial income75/76B---€0.2m€0.2m€0.2m€0.8m€0.4m▼ 46.4%
Recurring financial income75€0.007m€0.1m€0.05m€0.2m€0.2m€0.2m€0.8m€0.4m▼ 46.4%
Income from financial fixed assets750---€0.1m€0.2m€0.2m€0.4m€0.3m▼ 14.2%
Income from current assets751-------€0.1m-
Other financial income752/9---€0.1m€0.07m€151€0.4m€233▼ 99.9%
Financial charges65/66B---€0.2m€0.3m€0.5m€0.7m€1.5m▲ 118%
Recurring financial charges65€0.1m€0.2m€0.2m€0.2m€0.3m€0.5m€0.7m€1.5m▲ 118%
Debt charges650€0.09m€0.1m€0.2m€0.2m€0.2m€0.3m€0.7m€0.6m▼ 5.2%
Other financial charges652/9---€0.06m€0.03m€0.2m€0.03m€0.9m▲ 29×
Profit (loss) for the period before taxes9903€5.2m€1.3m€1.6m€2.2m€6.0m€5.6m€6.7m€6.0m▼ 9.8%
Income taxes67/77€0.07m€0.1m€0.006m-€0.001m€0.1m€0.3m€0.2m€0.3m▲ 38.8%
Taxes670/3----€0.1m€0.4m€0.3m€0.3m▲ 4.8%
Tax adjustments and reversals of tax provisions77---€0.001m-€0.08m€0.1m€0.08m▼ 42.9%
Profit (loss) for the period9904€5.1m€1.1m€1.6m€2.2m€5.8m€5.3m€6.5m€5.8m▼ 11.2%
Transfer from tax-exempt reserves789-----€3.3m€0.8m€0.07m▼ 91.4%
Transfer to tax-exempt reserves689---€0.1m€0.9m€0.2m---
Profit (loss) for the period to be appropriated9905€2.7m€1.1m€1.0m€2.0m€5.0m€8.5m€7.3m€5.8m▼ 20.3%
Line20182019202020212022202320242025Change
Assets
Total assets20/58€20.0m€20.4m€19.6m€18.2m€22.5m€30.0m€31.3m€32.7m▲ 4.5%
Fixed assets21/28€7.2m€7.1m€9.5m€10.5m€10.5m€13.0m€14.2m€13.7m▼ 3.4%
Intangible fixed assets21€3.1m€2.6m€2.2m€2.3m€2.0m€2.6m€3.5m€4.0m▲ 14.6%
Tangible fixed assets22/27€4.1m€4.5m€4.4m€4.0m€3.8m€4.0m€3.8m€3.7m▼ 2.0%
Land and buildings22---€2.9m€2.8m€2.7m€2.6m€2.5m▼ 3.1%
Plant, machinery and equipment23---€1.0m€1.0m€1.3m€1.1m€1.1m▲ 0.7%
Furniture and vehicles24---€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m€0.08m€0.08m▼ 4.1%
Other tangible fixed assets26---€0.002m-----
Financial fixed assets28€0.001m€0.001m€3.0m€4.3m€4.7m€6.3m€6.9m€6.0m▼ 13.4%
Affiliated companies280/1---€4.3m€4.7m€6.3m€6.9m€5.9m▼ 13.6%
Amounts receivable281---€4.3m€4.7m€6.3m€6.9m€5.9m▼ 13.6%
Other financial fixed assets284/8-------€0.02m-
Amounts receivable and cash guarantees285/8-------€0.02m-
Current assets29/58€12.8m€13.3m€10.1m€7.6m€11.9m€17.0m€17.2m€19.1m▲ 11.0%
Amounts receivable after more than one year29----€0.4m----
Trade receivables290----€0.4m----
Stocks and contracts in progress3€1.0m€0.9m€1.5m€1.3m€1.3m€1.7m€1.5m€1.1m▼ 23.8%
Stocks30/36---€1.3m€1.3m€1.7m€1.5m€1.1m▼ 23.8%
Raw materials and consumables30/31---€0.6m€0.6m€0.5m€0.6m€0.4m▼ 41.2%
Work in progress32---€0.2m€0.3m€0.2m€0.08m€0.03m▼ 58.2%
Finished goods33---€0.6m€0.4m€0.9m€0.8m€0.7m▼ 7.0%
Amounts receivable within one year40/41€7.5m€5.2m€3.9m€2.1m€7.0m€9.3m€7.0m€6.7m▼ 4.5%
Trade receivables40---€1.8m€6.1m€7.4m€6.2m€6.1m▼ 2.0%
Other amounts receivable41---€0.3m€1.0m€2.0m€0.8m€0.6m▼ 24.0%
Current investments50/53-----€2.5m€0€2.6m-
Other investments51/53-----€2.5m€0€2.6m-
Cash at bank and in hand54/58€4.3m€6.8m€4.5m€4.0m€3.1m€3.2m€8.5m€8.4m▼ 1.0%
Deferred charges and accrued income490/1---€0.2m€0.1m€0.3m€0.2m€0.2m▲ 12.4%
Equity and liabilities
Total equity and liabilities10/49€20.0m€20.4m€19.6m€18.2m€22.5m€30.0m€31.3m€32.7m▲ 4.5%
Equity10/15€3.3m€3.3m€3.9m€6.1m€6.5m€2.8m€9.3m€15.1m▲ 62.2%
Contributions10/11€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m€0.9m€0.9m€0.9m€0.9m€0.9m=
Capital10---€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m=
Issued capital100---€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m€0.07m=
Contributions outside capital11---€0.8m€0.8m€0.8m€0.8m€0.8m=
Share premium1100/10---€0.8m€0.8m€0.8m€0.8m€0.8m=
Reserves13€2.4m€2.5m€3.1m€3.2m€4.1m€0.9m€0.1m€0.04m▼ 66.6%
Non-distributable reserves130/1---€0.04m€0.04m€0.04m€0.04m€0.04m=
Legal reserve130---€0.04m€0.04m€0.04m€0.04m€0.04m=
Tax-exempt reserves132---€3.2m€4.0m€0.9m€0.07m--
Profit (loss) carried forward14---€2.0m€1.5m€1.0m€8.3m€14.2m▲ 70.3%
Amounts payable17/49€16.7m€17.1m€15.7m€12.0m€16.0m€27.2m€22.0m€17.7m▼ 19.8%
Amounts payable after more than one year17€6.4m€7.8m€7.7m€6.5m€5.5m€7.0m€6.6m€4.4m▼ 32.5%
Financial debts170/4---€6.5m€5.5m€7.0m€6.6m€4.4m▼ 32.5%
Credit institutions173---€6.5m€5.5m€7.0m€6.6m€4.4m▼ 32.5%
Amounts payable within one year42/48€9.8m€8.6m€7.9m€5.4m€10.4m€20.2m€15.3m€13.2m▼ 13.6%
Current portion of amounts payable after more than one year42---€1.0m€1.0m€1.7m€2.0m€2.1m▲ 5.2%
Trade debts44€5.3m€5.8m€5.5m€3.9m€3.0m€8.6m€6.9m€5.9m▼ 15.3%
Suppliers440/4---€3.9m€3.0m€8.6m€6.9m€5.9m▼ 15.3%
Taxes, remuneration and social security45---€0.5m€0.9m€0.8m€0.7m€0.8m▲ 9.4%
Taxes450/3---€253€0.1m€0.05m-€0.03m-
Remuneration and social security454/9---€0.5m€0.7m€0.8m€0.7m€0.8m▲ 4.9%
Other amounts payable47/48---€50€5.5m€9.0m€5.7m€4.5m▼ 21.3%
Accrued charges and deferred income492/3---€0.07m€0.06m€0.02m€0.2m€0.01m▼ 93.0%
Line20182019202020212022202320242025Change
Profit (loss) for the period9904€5.1m€1.1m€1.6m€2.2m€5.8m€5.3m€6.5m€5.8m▼ 11.2%
+ Depreciation and write-downs630€0.8m€1.0m€1.0m€0.9m€1.0m€1.1m€1.5m€2.0m▲ 30.0%
Operating cash flow (approximation)€5.9m€2.2m€2.6m€3.1m€6.8m€6.4m€8.0m€7.8m▼ 3.3%
Investment in fixed assets (approximation)--€0.9m-€3.5m-€1.9m-€1.0m-€3.5m-€2.7m-€1.5m▲ 44.8%
Change in cash-€2.5m-€2.4m-€0.5m-€0.9m€0.1m€5.3m-€0.08m-

A Belgian filing has no cash-flow statement. These rows are therefore an approximation, derived from the income statement and the balance-sheet moves.

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Historical observation

In July 2024, 20,136 companies had the same profile as OYSTERSHELL has now. Two years later, 95.0% were still going and 0.2% had gone bankrupt.

  • Small
  • 20 years or older
  • solvency 30% or more
  • a profit of 5% of the balance sheet or more
95.0% was still going
4.7% stopped otherwise
0.2% went bankrupt

That fits the bankruptcy probability of OYSTERSHELL itself: < 0.1% within 12 months.

Test of the method

The method was tested on the 497,446 companies of July 2024. Each company was given the bankruptcy share of the same profile a year earlier, in July 2023. The expectation was that 1.6% would go bankrupt within 24 months. In fact 1.7% went bankrupt.

The companies in ten equal groups, from the lowest to the highest expected share
Group Expected Actual
1 0.2% 0.2%
2 0.3% 0.5%
3 0.5% 0.6%
4 0.7% 0.8%
5 0.9% 0.9%
6 1.3% 1.5%
7 1.6% 1.8%
8 1.8% 1.8%
9 3.0% 3.1%
10 5.6% 6.2%

A company that went bankrupt had a higher expected share than one that kept going in 74.5% of comparisons. The level depends on the economy. In a year with more bankruptcies than the year before, the actual share is higher than the expected one.

This is an observation about 20,136 companies, not a prediction for OYSTERSHELL. The sector does not count, because the KBO no longer lists a sector for a company that has stopped. By sector, mostly the survivors would count, which would paint too rosy a picture.

Latest 10 of 45 filings with the National Bank
Financial year Type Filed Reference Document
31-12-2025 full format 09-07-2026 2026-00271630 PDF
31-12-2024 full format 17-07-2025 2025-00278486 PDF
31-12-2023 full format 20-06-2024 2024-00168716 PDF
31-12-2022 full format 05-07-2023 2023-00204173 PDF
31-12-2021 full format 20-07-2022 2022-20207186 PDF
31-12-2020 full format 01-07-2021 2021-29800390 PDF
31-12-2019 full format 01-07-2020 2020-24300050 PDF
31-12-2018 full format 03-07-2019 2019-29100438 PDF
31-12-2017 full format 30-06-2018 2018-27900120 PDF
31-12-2016 full format 06-06-2017 2017-15600074 PDF

Show all 45 filings

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