Equity
Equity fell by 78% in 2 years.
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In July 2024, 1,083 companies had the same profile as CFT has now. Each dot stands for 3 companies, two years later.
The method was tested on the 497,448 companies of July 2024. Each company was given the bankruptcy share of the same profile a year earlier, in July 2023. The expectation was that 1.6% would go bankrupt within 24 months. In fact 1.7% went bankrupt.
| Group | Expected | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 6 | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| 7 | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| 8 | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| 9 | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| 10 | 5.6% | 6.2% |
A company that went bankrupt had a higher expected share than one that kept going in 74.5% of comparisons. The level depends on the economy. In a year with more bankruptcies than the year before, the actual share is higher than the expected one.
This is an observation about 1,083 companies, not a prediction for CFT. The sector does not count, because the KBO no longer lists a sector for a company that has stopped. By sector, mostly the survivors would count, which would paint too rosy a picture.
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The scores and ratios are Checked's own calculations, not a credit decision.
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| Company | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFT Poperinge | €222,261 | €14,503 | 8.8% | - |
| LA SCALIGERA Veurne | €279,328 | €27,195 | 47.2% | - |
| Fine Wine Buyers Lummen | €256,186 | €10,285 | 78.5% | - |
| NNP Molenbeek-Saint-Jean | €285,744 | €23,403 | 94.5% | - |
| NIVOO VINUM Wellen | €189,925 | €31,129 | 35.9% | - |
| FIJNWIJN Opwijk | €332,091 | €22,989 | 87.7% | - |
| UN MOMENTO DI VINO Flémalle | €287,858 | €12,823 | 30.9% | - |
These companies have the same main activity as CFT: wholesale of wines and spirits (NACE 46341). They are comparable in size and age: total assets between €190,000 and €332,000, founded between 1998 and 2009.
CFT files the micro format. That format states no turnover. The gross margin rose from €7,906 in 2006 to €14,503 in 2024.
Sources: KBO register, filings at the National Bank, Belgian Official Gazette. Click a figure with a dotted line for the item and the filing.
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