Cease Fire

Active

Public limited companyfounded 20241 yr activeLivornostraat 158/160, 1000 Brussel, BelgiumKBO/BCE: BE 1016.152.105

Summary

The computed 12-month bankruptcy probability of Cease Fire is 3.5% (moderate). The 2025 annual accounts show equity of €55,432 and a net result of -€6,068. The company has been active since 2024 and the Belgian State Gazette contains no insolvency or warning signals.

Risk analysisWatch Report Compare

Cease FireActiveChecked score 50/100

Risk analysis Report Compare

Activity

Activity not known1 site

Size

€61,069total assets 2025

Equity: €55,432
Loss: -€6,068

Turnover not published (abridged schema)

Financial health

50 Fair Checked score 2025

Bankruptcy chance 12 m: 3.5%

Structure

Parent: M80 Capital II · 100%

Accounts 38 d early0 of 1 deed read

Why 50- Founded in 2024- No main activity registered+ Legal form Public limited companyShow the evidence

Checked score

Score 2025

50 / 100

Fair

Probability in this band: 1.5% to 4.2%

Better than 50% of its sector peers (no NACE code, without accounts)

Performance against the sector, not lower risk

Every signal that weighs is under Signals.

Financial strength

Average

Solvency 100

equity 90.8% of total assets

Liquidity 52

short-term debt 9.2% · cash 1.7%

Profitability 13

return on assets -9.9%

Bankruptcy probability, 12 months

3.5% Moderate

0%0.5%1.5%4%10%≥ 25%

About 4 in 100 comparable companies go bankrupt within 12 months (an estimate).

Last 24 months 12-2025: 2.2%lowest value 01-2026: 2.2%▲ +2.6% vs 12-2025 02-2026: 2.3%▲ +2.0% vs 01-2026 03-2026: 2.8%▲ +22.0% vs 02-2026 04-2026: 2.8%▲ +0.6% vs 03-2026 05-2026: 3.1%▲ +9.7% vs 04-2026 06-2026: 3.3%▲ +6.3% vs 05-2026 07-2026: 3.3%● 0.0% vs 06-2026 08-2026: 3.2%▼ -2.6% vs 07-2026 09-2026: 3.2%▼ -1.1% vs 08-2026 10-2026: 3.5%▲ +12.4% vs 09-2026highest value

Founded in 2024 raises the probability for this profile
No main activity registered raises the probability
Legal form Public limited company lowers the probability

Credit up to €2,500 at 30 days acceptable

Liquidity ample (current ratio 10.83; short-term debt: 9.2% and cash: 1.7% of total assets), and 9.2% of the assets are financed with debt.

How it is calculated

The band comes from the bankruptcy probability on a scale of 0 to 100: every 10 points more double the odds of getting through the year without bankruptcy.

75-100	Excellent	under 0.55%
60-74	Healthy	0.55% to 1.5%
45-59	Fair	1.5% to 4.2%
25-44	Weak	4.2% to 15.0%
0-24	Critical	over 15.0%

Place inside the band: half the bankruptcy probability, half how the company does against its sector peers (no NACE code, without accounts). Better than this share of them on solvency 87%, liquidity 41%, profitability 22%. That is performance, not lower risk; the band itself always comes from the probability.

Bankruptcy probability: model pd-v3.202610021621, computed on 03-10-2026. The model learns from Belgian bankruptcies and reads the registers, the annual accounts and the gazette.

Ceilings: negative or zero equity, a heavy loss, a special KBO legal situation and a missing filing 59 (two missing 44), an ongoing judicial reorganisation or an ending 24. Financial strength does not count in the score.

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