Losses
The 2024 and 2025 financial years closed with a loss. 2024 was the heaviest.
The 2024 and 2025 financial years closed with a loss. 2024 was the heaviest.
The 2022 accounts came latest: 67 days after the end of the period.
The dashed line is the sector median: 1.8% across 23,796 companies (NACE 56, micro).
About 3 in 100 comparable companies go bankrupt within 12 months (an estimate).
The band follows from the bankruptcy probability. 10 more points roughly halve it.
| 75-100 | Excellent | under 0.55% |
| 60-74 | Healthy | 0.55% to 1.5% |
| 45-59 | Fair | 1.5% to 4.2% |
| 25-44 | Weak | 4.2% to 15.0% |
| 0-24 | Critical | over 15.0% |
Where the company stands within its band depends half on the bankruptcy probability and half on how it does against its sector peers (NACE 56, micro). It does better than 75% of them on solvency, 37% on liquidity, 8% on profitability and 18% on growth.
The bankruptcy probability was computed on 07-11-2026 by the bankruptcy model of 2 October 2026, which learns from Belgian bankruptcies and reads the registers, the annual accounts and the Belgian Official Gazette.
The probability rests on the annual accounts with balance sheet date 31-12-2025.
Of the companies with a bankruptcy probability in the moderate class on 30-06-2025, 2.4% went bankrupt within twelve months.
Some facts cap the score, however low the probability. With negative or zero equity, a heavy loss, a special status in the KBO, one missing filing or accounts filed more than 90 days late, the score is Fair at most (59). With two missing filings, it is Weak at most (44). During a judicial reorganisation or at the company's end (bankruptcy, dissolution, liquidation), it is Critical at most (24).
In July 2024, 3,223 companies had the same profile as BIBUS has now. Each dot stands for 9 companies, two years later.
Another 0.2% stopped without a precise date, possibly only after those two years.
That fits the bankruptcy probability of BIBUS itself: 3.2% within 12 months.
The method was tested on the 497,447 companies of July 2024. Each company was given the bankruptcy share of the same profile a year earlier, in July 2023. The expectation was that 1.6% would go bankrupt within 24 months. In fact 1.7% went bankrupt.
| Group | Expected | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 6 | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| 7 | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| 8 | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| 9 | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| 10 | 5.6% | 6.2% |
A company that went bankrupt had a higher expected share than one that kept going in 74.5% of comparisons. The level depends on the economy. In a year with more bankruptcies than the year before, the actual share is higher than the expected one.
This is an observation about 3,223 companies, not a prediction for BIBUS. The sector does not count, because the KBO no longer lists a sector for a company that has stopped. By sector, mostly the survivors would count, which would paint too rosy a picture.
Show the recommended maximum and see how the verdict changes with amount, term and advance.
The scores and ratios are Checked's own calculations, not a credit decision.
The company filed its last 4 accounts on average 46 days after the deadline. In the sector (NACE 56), the median for financial year 2024 was 7 days after the deadline, and 53% of those companies filed late.
| Company | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIBUS Tubize | €9,617 | -€2,950 | 57.9% | - |
| Denise - Ruche Citoyenne Mont-Saint-Guibert | €9,026 | €31 | -68.6% | - |
| RED CUP Charleroi | €9,597 | -€979 | 46.8% | - |
| GIVE LIFE Brugelette | €9,895 | -€2,737 | 61.1% | - |
| CHR CONCEPT BY CARPE DIEM Sint-Gillis (bij-Brussel) | €8,480 | €210 | 70.3% | - |
| Crossroads Antwerp Antwerp | €8,387 | -€37,184 | -538.6% | - |
| THIKY Holsbeek | €8,179 | -€1,017 | -508.9% | - |
These companies have the same main activity as BIBUS: cafés and bars (NACE 56301). They are comparable in size and age: total assets between €8,180 and €9,900, founded between 2021 and 2022.
BIBUS files the abbreviated format. That format states no turnover. The gross margin fell from €116,117 in 2022 to -€2,950 in 2025.
Sources: KBO register, filings at the National Bank, Belgian Official Gazette. Click a figure with a dotted line for the item and the filing.
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